Latest poll shows Trump narrowly leading in Arizona, tied with Harris in Wisconsin

09/30/2024 / By Kevin Hughes

A recent poll shows former President Donald Trump narrowly leading in the critical swing state of Arizona while being tied with Vice President Kamala Harris in the swing state of Wisconsin.

Surveying 1,030 likely voters in Arizona with margin of error of plus or minus three points, the poll conducted by polling company Rasmussen Reports revealed that Trump is ahead of Harris in the state by 49 percent to 47 percent. (Related: POLL: Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in Michigan after presidential debate.)

In a similar survey of 1,071 likely voters in Wisconsin with a similar margin of error of plus or minus three points, the poll showed Trump in a tie with Harris at 49 percent each.

“The economy is the top issue in both states, with 33 percent of likely voters in Arizona voters and 29 percent in Wisconsin naming it as most important,” Rasmussen mentioned. “In Arizona, border security (22 percent) is the second most important issue, followed by abortion (15 percent). In Wisconsin, border security and abortion at tied as the second-most important issue, each with 17 percent.”

About 31 percent of the likely voters in Arizona think illegal immigration should be the top priority of the incoming president, while 27 percent think the top priority should be the rising prices.

American Thinker Managing Editor Andrea Widburg said: “Given a choice between a generic candidate who supports amnesty and one who supports deportation, 51 percent [of Arizona voters] would back a deportation candidate, with 33 percent backing an amnesty candidate. Sixty-six percent of them feel that the government is doing too little to stop the flow of illegal aliens across the border.”

In Wisconsin, the tie between Harris and Trump is mostly because of the four issues that concern Wisconsin voters: the economy, immigration, energy policy and abortion.

“On the first two, a majority of voters believe that Trump is the stronger candidate; on the last two, a slight majority side with Harris on energy issues, while those who support Harris are also strongly pro-abortion,” said Widburg. “In addition, despite seemingly liking Harris more, Wisconsinites are unhappy about the past four years.”

Trump ahead of Harris in Sun Belt states

Meanwhile, a recent New York Times (NYT) survey placed Trump ahead of Harris in the Sun Belt states of Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona.

Trump kept a four-point lead (49-45 percent) in the Peach State, the same margin he had in August; moved ahead by two points (49-47 percent) in the Tar Heel state, a four-point swing from August; and took a five-point lead in the Copper State (50-45 percent), a massive 10-point swing from the previous month as Harris struggled to get support from Latino voters.

Political experts believe Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are among the states that will decide the presidential election. Specifically, experts think Trump’s path to obtain 270 electoral votes becomes clearer if he wins Georgia and North Carolina.

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